The global lockdowns are creating a self-imposed recession for justifiable public health reasons but the human fall out from these lockdowns are very real with business failures, unemployment and debt levels rising. The lives versus livelihoods debate is no easy…
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Global equities dropped back yesterday with the UK and Europe loosing around 3%. However, overall stocks have risen recently with the US leading this charge. To give you some context to how sizeable this relative US rally has been, the…
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Health and economic data are being poured over in the pursuit of the correct policy decision to exit the UK lockdown successfully. This is a delicate balance between the current and near future heath of the nation and the near…
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We have for the past year held a heavy underweight position to European equities due to scepticism over the scale of fiscal spend that could be mustered to combat poor economic growth. It was expected that the coronavirus outbreak would…
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As Italian and Spanish new coronavirus case growth has slowed, sentiment has been buoyed, culminating in the US market’s 7% rally on Monday. Both countries represented the epicentre of the European impact and therefore are expected to be the first…
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There is a major debate raging over the balance between looking after the health of the public and looking after the health of the economy. Policy makers have weighed up the cost of a global recession and the virus death…
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The coronavirus is having a severe effect on global economic activity and amidst considerable uncertainty analysts and economists are trying to gauge the impact and update forecasts. Several are suggesting that the world economy will contract this year by 3%,…
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It is expected that the contraction in global activity in 2020 will be around 3% and this will exceed that seen in the first year of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008 when global GDP contracted by 0.5%. However,…
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Markets rallied early this week as investors anticipated fiscal spending reaching the real economy and new coronavirus case growth slowed in Italy and Spain. Whilst the overall number of cases and deaths continues to mount in Italy the growth in…
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