The world has moved quite decisively from low inflation and declining interest rates to quite the opposite. This transition has brought greater economic volatility with the risk premium of holding equity assets haven risen. We are now potentially coming to…
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The Office of National Statistics (ONS) confirmed in November that the UK economy grew by 0% in Q3. This news was a disappointment to the UK stock market with both FTSE 100 and 250 falling over 1% on the news.…
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Despite Jerome Powell, the US Federal Reserve Chairman saying that ‘price rises still need to be kept under control’ the Federal Open Markets Committee held US interest rates at 5.25- 5.5% range in their November meeting. The US economy has…
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In Q3, the US posted GDP growth figures of 4.9%. This was way above any other major developed country. This was a remarkable growth figure given the rates of inflation, interest rates and economic outlook. The third quarter growth was…
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Over the past three years, we have witnessed significant volatility in bond prices as central banks flooded the global economy with cash to pay for a Covid recovery. The peak of the loose monetary policy saw US$11tn of sovereign debt…
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The BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill has hinted that ‘it is not unreasonable’ to predict a rate cut next summer. This is the clearest signal yet that the BoE is at the peak of interest rate rises. Financial markets are…
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The governments of the developed world are being held back by the crushing responsibility of repaying huge debt piles at elevated interest rates. This debt has been accelerated in the past 15 years through the buying out of banks in…
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GDP growth in the US continued to surprise on the upside while inflation maintained its steady decline. The resilience of consumers in both the US and UK has meant that the ECB, Fed, and BoE have been cautious about their…
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Equity markets started 2023 with a recovery in tech stocks pushing US equities to the best January performance in 20 years. Stocks were lifted by positive sentiment over the opening of China and economic activity that appeared to reduce the…
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